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Bearish Nightmare Scenario

The smartest analysts in the business are warning us that the stock market is both dangerous and expensive. The problem with this thinking is that as proof that the market is expensive we are given previous extremes such as a previous peak in P/E ratios or a previous peak in sales to price. The problem with this analysis is that in new bull markets, new records are seen in the various indicators.


Before the current bull market is over, we may see many new records in valuations and thus valuations beyond anything ever seen before. The question then becomes: how will we know when the bull market is topped out? Unfortunately we will only know when the bull market has died, in hindsight. Many an investor will be wiped out if he insists on waiting to find out if the bull market has topped out in hindsight. The way around this is ... Log in or subscribe to continue reading.

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