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Richard's Remarks


The VIX, often called the "fear index," is a forward looking metric (it's actually a measure of the implied volatility of the S&P index over the coming 30 days). The VIX in recent months has been fluctuating in a very low area below 20. Back in June the VIX jumped up to 26.66, then settled back to its low range. In past history, extended periods of very low volatility have been followed by major upward thrusts in the VIX. The cycles in the VIX tend to be repetitive. Following the recent bouts of extremely low volatility, a period of super-high volatility may be anticipated. It's been a year since we've seen high numbers in the VIX. Super-high volatility is often accompanied by a collapse in the Dow. Thus, a forthcoming period of a very high VIX (maybe as high as 80) may next be expected. An upward spike in the VIX ... Log in or subscribe to continue reading.

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