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Matt's Market Insights

March, 2017 Archives

A Change in the Wind

By Matthew Kerkhoff

 

Markets are reacting to Friday’s abandonment of the GOP health care plan, and so far the narrative is one of uncertainty regarding the high expectations that have been set over recent months.

 

The new health care bill was seen as the first real test for Trump and fellow republicans, and it’s probably fair to say that they are not delighted with the outcome. But what about the markets?

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How to Protect Your Investments With Portfolio Insurance

By Matthew Kerkhoff

 

It’s that time of the month again. The one where we step into the world of derivatives to better understand the role options can play in an investment portfolio.

 

This is the fifth installment of our new monthly series on options, and it’s the first time we’re going to talk about actual option strategies. Up to this point, we’ve simply been laying a foundation of knowledge with which to begin discussing these strategies.

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The Slippery Slope of Interest Rates

By Matthew Kerkhoff

 

All attention is once again on Janet Yellen and the Federal Reserve this week, as the FOMC meets to determine whether an interest rate hike is warranted.

 

At this point, with Fed Funds futures prices pointing toward a 95% chance of a rate hike, an increase to the federal funds rate is a near certainty. But the implications and consequences of a rate hike are less so. Let’s dig into that further.

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The Key to Predicting Inflation

By Matthew Kerkhoff

 

If there’s one overarching theme that’s accompanied the Trump rally, it’s the idea of reflation. In fact, if you look at the price action across nearly all asset classes, it reflects the anticipation of inflationary forces.

 

But are we truly seeing the whites of inflation’s eyes? Or is this a temporary reprieve before deflationary forces again spoil the fun? The answer may be more complicated than you think.

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