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Matt's Market Insights

Latest Articles

How to Protect Your Investments With Portfolio Insurance

By Matthew Kerkhoff

 

It’s that time of the month again. The one where we step into the world of derivatives to better understand the role options can play in an investment portfolio.

 

This is the fifth installment of our new monthly series on options, and it’s the first time we’re going to talk about actual option strategies. Up to this point, we’ve simply been laying a foundation of knowledge with which to begin discussing these strategies.

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The Slippery Slope of Interest Rates

By Matthew Kerkhoff

 

All attention is once again on Janet Yellen and the Federal Reserve this week, as the FOMC meets to determine whether an interest rate hike is warranted.

 

At this point, with Fed Funds futures prices pointing toward a 95% chance of a rate hike, an increase to the federal funds rate is a near certainty. But the implications and consequences of a rate hike are less so. Let’s dig into that further.

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The Key to Predicting Inflation

By Matthew Kerkhoff

 

If there’s one overarching theme that’s accompanied the Trump rally, it’s the idea of reflation. In fact, if you look at the price action across nearly all asset classes, it reflects the anticipation of inflationary forces.

 

But are we truly seeing the whites of inflation’s eyes? Or is this a temporary reprieve before deflationary forces again spoil the fun? The answer may be more complicated than you think.

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Introduction to Calls and Puts (Part 4)

By Matthew Kerkhoff

 

Welcome back for the 4th installment of our new monthly series on options. The goal of this series is to provide a basic overview on how options can be used to help protect and manage a portfolio.

 

Today we’re going to wrap up the introductory portion of this series by taking a look at the various factors that affect option pricing. After today’s article, you should have a basic framework for how calls and puts work, under what conditions an investor may want to trade calls and puts, and how factors in the marketplace affect the pricing of options.

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Global LEIs and Technicals Point Up

By Matthew Kerkhoff

 

This post-election stock market rally has been exciting and profitable, but it has also become long in the tooth. After going nowhere for almost two years, the Industrials shot from 18,000 to 19,000 in about a two-week period, took out the 20,000 mark roughly two months later, and now we’re closing in on 21,000.

 

You can see the entirety of this move in the chart below, which also contains indications that more gains may lie ahead.

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Global Reflation?

By Matthew Kerkhoff

 

After years of fighting against the forces of deflation, many areas of the world, including the U.S., are experiencing a rebound in inflation and growth prospects. The promise of rising prices and accelerating economic growth are causing asset prices to head higher, but how long will this phenomenon last?

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