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Matt's Market Insights

Latest Articles

The Character of the Market is Changing

By Matthew Kerkhoff

 

Not too many people remember the second week of August, 2007, but for others, that week will be forever etched in their minds. And in many ways, it should be etched in yours as well.

 

During that infamous week, we witnessed an event that would later come to be known as the 2007 Quant Meltdown. While the events that unfolded took place in a relatively small pocket of the financial market, their effects would have consequences for all investors.

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Unrealistic Expectations

By Matthew Kerkhoff

 

We all know that investing is a game of expectations. The market “prices in” certain information, and then we adjust our outlook and positions as those expectations change. A key operating rule of this “game” is that when the best that can be seen ahead is fully discounted, the market tops out.

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Domestic vs. Global Indicators

By Matthew Kerkhoff

 

I’ve made the case in recent articles that the current rally in U.S. equities is not so much a domestic response, but rather a case of global reflation. If that thesis holds water, then weak economic data here in the U.S. is unlikely to derail this rally, but a change in the global outlook most definitely would.

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